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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Stock Markets 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Where is the Stock Market Santa Claus Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

With the S&P 500 down so far in December, some investors and traders are asking “where’s the Santa Claus Rally”?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Stock Market Medium term Bullish, But Long Term Risk:Reward is Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Last week’s market outlook was not clearly explained, so I would like to clarify.

Our models have not yet turned long term bearish, although they are getting close to turning long term bearish. But while building new and better models like the Macro Index, I’ve come to realize that at least from a long term risk:reward perspective, it doesn’t favor long term bulls. Market outlook and risk:reward are not the same thing. Here’s an example.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Why Are You Getting Stock Market Whipsawed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

This past week was quite interesting, as well as volatile. On Monday, we had a huge gap up right into the initial resistance region we had on our charts in the 2810-15SPX region. In fact, the futures struck a high of 2813ES, and then turned down.

Well, when the trading day opened on Monday, analysts and market participants were quite certain that the “cause” of the rally was due to the dinner discussions the US President had with the Chinese President. And, based upon that dinner (and nothing more than that), everyone assumed that the market gapped up “bigly.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Is a Deleveraging Event about to Unfold in the Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As 2018 draws to a close and the global equities markets continue to find pricing and valuation pressures driving prices lower, a few questions come to mind for all investors/traders – Is a deleveraging event about to unfold?  What will it look like if it does happen and how can I protect my investments from such an event?  This research article is going to help you answer those questions and should help to resolve any lingering questions you may have regarding the true nature of this market rotation and volatility.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2018

Silver Fails Miserably To Meet Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Kelsey_Williams

No matter how harsh it sounds, it is true. Unfortunately, too many people don’t want to hear it and refuse to listen.

Acknowledgement of the facts doesn’t seem to deter its supporters. We are told that silver’s ongoing underperformance relative to gold makes it “a better buy” with “more profit potential”.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2018

Does Wall Street Now Have a Powell Put / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Michael_Pento

First let’s explain exactly what a “Fed Put” is. A Fed put is defined as: The confidence of Wall Street that the Fed will lower interest rates and print money to support the market until economic strength will be strong enough to carry stocks higher. The term “Put” is ascribed to this because a put option is basically a contract that offers a buyer protection from falling asset prices. It was first coined under the Chairmanship of Alan Greenspan when he lowered interest rates and printed money to rescue Wall Street from its 22% Black Monday crash back in 1987. The practice of bailing out stocks was institutionalized by Ben Bernanke; and then became a bonafide tradition perpetuated by Janet Yellen.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2018

Stock Market Key Support Being Re-Tested / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bullish, but correcting within the long-term bull market trend.

Intermediate trend –  bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2018

The Stock Market’s Long Term Outlook is Changing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

As I explained in today’s special report, our Macro Investing Index has been deteriorating since August/September 2018. This stands in sharp contrast with the 10% correction from this January – February 2018, when the U.S. macro economy was healthy.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 07, 2018

US Economy Will Deteriorate Over Next Half Year. What this Means for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Today’s post is really important. It’s based on the Macro Investing Model, which is something I’ve been working on for weeks.

The economy (macro) is set to deteriorate

Our new Macro Investing Index is described as:

As we’ve demonstrated repeatedly here at Bull Markets, leading economic indicators are also long term leading indicators for the stock market because the stock market and the economy move in the same direction in the long term. This is how you know if the stock market’s decline is a correction, or the start of a much bigger bear market (e.g. a 30%+ decline).

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 05, 2018

Stock Market Crashed While the Yield Curve Inverted / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The stock market tanked -3% today as the yield curve started to invert.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 05, 2018

Stock Market Dow Plunge Following Fake US - China Trade War Truce / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Dow closed down near 800 points Tuesday at 25,027, which followed a rally into the weekend G20 meeting and Monday's buying climax high to Dow 26,000 that the mainstream financial media put down to a halt of Trade War hostilities between the US and China.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

Isn't It Amazing How The Fed Controls The Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

I wonder how many of you had your brains in gear when following the action in the market this past week. For those that did not, let’s review what happened.

First, the market broke out “bigly” on Wednesday, and every media source and investor was absolutely certain that it was due to the Fed chairman’s speech (even though he really said nothing new, as future rate decisions were always going to be data driven). Yet, the next day, the Fed minutes came out that clearly noted they are continuing to raise rates. And, what did the market do on that information? Of course, it rallied further.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 03, 2018

Stock Market Key (Short-term) Support Holds / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Bullish, but correcting within the long-term bull market trend.

Intermediate trend –  bearish correction has started which could retrace as low as 2200 before it is complete

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, December 03, 2018

Stocks Bull Market Tops Are a Process / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. stock market rallied last week and is now sitting just under its 200 day moving average.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 03, 2018

More Late-cycle Signs for the Stock Market and What’s Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 is sitting right under its 200 day moving average right now. The stock market is demonstrating various late-cycle signs. These late-cycle signs are not immediately long term bearish, but it demonstrates that the long term winds will change in 2019.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 30, 2018

Global Economic Perceptions Are Shifting Imnplications for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our researchers spent a good portion of the holiday weekend researching a continued capital shift that is taking place in the US equities markets and throughout the global market.  Over the past 20+ months, a massive capital shift has taken place where investment capital fled weaker global economies and rushed into the US stock market because of a tremendous value opportunity that existed at that time.  Technology, Biotech and many others equity sectors were skyrocketing – in some cases 2~3% a month.  This ROI, along with the benefit of a stronger US Dollar, created a very unique environment where foreign capital could rush into the US markets, land pretty much anywhere and become relatively safe from foreign risks/devaluation.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 30, 2018

The US Economy is Getting Worse. What this Means for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The U.S. economy is starting to deteriorate, which is what typically happens in the last year of a bull market.

Let’s determine the stock market’s most probable direction by objectively quantifying technical analysis. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day, week, or month.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Stocks Rallied, New Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks rallied on Wednesday following breaking out above their week-long consolidation. The S&P 500 accelerated higher after breaking above 2,700 mark. Will the uptrend continue? Or is this just another advance within a consolidation following the October sell-off?

The U.S. stock market indexes gained 2.3-3.0% on Wednesday, as investors sentiment much improved following breaking out above the recent trading range. The S&P 500 index got back above the level of 2,700. It currently trades 6.7% below September the 21st record high of 2,940.91. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 2.5% and the Nasdaq Composite gained 3.0% on Wednesday.

The nearest important level of resistance of the S&P 500 index is now at 2,750, marked by some previous local highs. The resistance level is also at 2,780-2,800, among others. On the other hand, the level of support is at 2,680-2,700, marked by the recent resistance level.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 29, 2018

The Fed Will Probably Stop Hiking Rates in 2019. What’s Next for Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

Well that was quick. Less than 2 months ago Fed chairman Powell said that interest rates were “far below neutral” (implying that rates needed to be hiked much more). After the stock market has fallen 10%, Powell now thinks that “interest rates are close to being neutral” (implying that fewer rate hikes are needed).

The stock market rallied on this news.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Stock Market Santa Rally Still a GO to Dow 27,000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Virtually immediately after I posted last weeks Dow trend forecast updatethat we were a GO for the Santa rally, the Dow decided to take a tumble by falling to a low for the week of 24,285 a sizeable 1100 point drop since my last update. So is the the Santa rally still a go or has fundamental damage been done for the prospects for a Santa rally?

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