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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Category: Gold and Silver 2018

The analysis published under this category are as follows.

Commodities

Wednesday, December 12, 2018

Owning Precious Metals in an IRA / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Andy Schectman of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments discusses with Maurice Jackson of Proven and Probable some benefits of holding precious metals in IRAs as well as some other tax advantages of precious metals.

Maurice Jackson: Welcome to Proven and Probable. Joining us is Andy Schectman, the president of Miles Franklin Precious Metals Investments.

In our previous interview, we addressed the value propositions and opportunity of a lifetime available right now in silver and platinum. Today, we will address two very important topics regarding tax law selling in precious metals RAs.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Silver Investors See Palladium as the “Canary in the Coal Mine” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

The precious metals sector has just one standout performer this year, and that is palladium. Lately the market for that metal has gotten more than just hot. Developments there could have implications for the LBMA and the rickety fractional reserve system of inventory underpinning all of the physical precious metals markets.

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Commodities

Monday, December 10, 2018

Waiting for Gold Price to Erupt / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we are watching the US and global markets rotate dramatically lower over the past few days, we have been advising our members that we believe this rotation is an over-reaction to economic impetuses and trade issues – not a massive downside price break.  Overall, some of our longer-term technical indicators are currently bearish, as one would think technical indicators would react to price activity and trends.  Our ADL, predictive modeling system, is still suggesting upside price activity and we believe our research team has hit on something that helps to put this end of year turmoil into perspective.

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Commodities

Monday, December 10, 2018

Listen to What Gold is Telling You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Gary_Savage

Listen to what gold is saying. It’s not deflation that we have to worry about. We’re about to enter a multi year period of rising inflation. Seriously did you think years of QE weren’t going to have consequences at some point?

For a long time I’ve maintained several key macro views.

  1. Gold started a new bull market in late 2015.
  2. The dollar started a secular bear market in early 2017.
  3. Stocks have not topped yet. We still have higher highs ahead.

First off let’s look at the stock market.

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Commodities

Sunday, December 09, 2018

Is an Inverted Yield Curve Bullish for Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In recent days we’ve seen the beginnings of an inversion in the yield curve.

The 2-year yield and the 5-year yield have inverted but not yet the the 2-year yield and the 10-year yield, the curve that is watched most. However, “2s and 10s” as bond traders would say appear headed for an inversion very soon.

We know that an inversion of the yield curve precedes a recession and bear market. That is good for Gold. But timing is important and the key word is precedes.

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Commodities

Saturday, December 08, 2018

Stocks Selloff Boosting Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The recent stock-market selloff is persisting, fueling mounting worries among investors.  The intensifying volatility and lack of a quick rebound higher is strangling euphoric sentiment, spawning self-reinforcing selling pressure.  Scoffed at a few months ago, the notions that a young bear market is underway and a recession looms are gaining traction.  The great beneficiary of this ominous stock-market downturn will be gold.

Gold has always been an essential asset class for prudently diversifying investment portfolios.  Uniquely it tends to rally when stock markets weaken, offsetting some of the losses in typical stock-heavy portfolios.  Gold acts like portfolio insurance, usually soaring when stock markets plunge on unforeseen news.  All throughout history, wise investors have recommended everyone have 5% to 10% of their portfolios in gold.

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Commodities

Friday, December 07, 2018

Will Weak US Dollar Save Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Trade wars and lax fiscal policy are negative for the US dollar and positive for gold. Myth or fact? We invite you to read our today’s article about the effects of Trump’s actions on the greenback and find out whether weak dollar will save gold.

Let’s look at the chart below. As one can see, the greenback has been in a bull market since February 2018. Yup, the chart does not lie. The US Congress widened the fiscal deficit, while President Trump engaged in trade disputes. But despite these disturbing developments for long-run economic health, the broad trade weighted US dollar index increased from 115 to almost 130 now. But why – shouldn’t it decline?

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Commodities

Friday, December 07, 2018

Gold and Palladium Shake Hands / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The price of palladium just exceeded the price of gold for the first time in 16 years. That’s an epic even. But what does it really mean? And why should gold, silver, and mining stock investors care about the small palladium market?

In short, because this development can tell us something about the future performance of the PM sector in general.

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Commodities

Thursday, December 06, 2018

When Lights Go Off, What Does Gold Do? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Powell has recently came up with the metaphor of wandering in the darkness. Will golden sunshine brighten the dark?

I Am the Fed Chair and I Know Nothing

On November 14th, Powell discussed global perspectives in Dallas Fed with its President, Robert Kaplan. He characterized the Fed’s stance, providing an interesting analogy:

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

Trump and Powell More Dovish. Will Gold Fly Away? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

President Trump and President Xi Jinping agreed to halt escalation in their trade conflict. At the same time, the Fed officials became more cautious about the pace of future interest rate hikes. How will the softening of the US trade and monetary policies affect the gold market?

Trade Truce and Gold

Have you heard about the Christmas truce? It was a series of unofficial ceasefires across the Western Front during World War I around Christmas Day in 1914. In that time, men from both sides emerged from the trenches and met in No Man’s Land to exchange gifts, take photos, sing carols and play football. Really. We were also moved. It shows that there might be a moment of peace even during a dreadful war.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 04, 2018

Golds Xmas Gift / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: readtheticker

Three things have tweaked the fundamentals for gold.

1) Bitcoin is not attracting the hot cash, unlike 2016.

2) Fed's Powell dovish switch, now less expectations for interest rate hikes in 2019.

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Commodities

Friday, November 30, 2018

Gold Fundamentals Improving but Not Bullish Yet / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Recent market and economic developments are positive for Gold and precious metals but conditions are not bullish yet.

Bullish conditions and bullish fundamentals would be highlighted by a shift in Fed policy. They aren’t shifting yet. They are slowing, which precedes a shift.  

From a market standpoint, we need to see strength in Gold in real terms (against stocks and foreign currencies) and a steepening of the yield curve. These developments along with shifting Fed policy will tell us a new bull market is soon to begin.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 29, 2018

Should Gold Bulls Open the Champagne? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Powell spoke yesterday. The gold market considered his remarks as dovish. And the market is always right, isn’t it?

Just Below Neutral

On Wednesday, Powell delivered a speech “The Federal Reserve’s Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability” at The Economic Club of New York. The majority of analysts judged the speech as dovish. Why? The key reason was Powell’s view that interest rates were close to neutral:

Interest rates are still low by historical standards, and they remain just below the broad range of estimates of the level that would be neutral for the economy – that is, neither speeding up nor slowing down growth.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Gold Joins the Decline – the Earth is Shaking / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Gold, silver and mining stocks declined in a quite visible way yesterday, which is in tune with our previous expectations. In the previous days it was only silver and miners that declined in a meaningful manner, but yesterday gold joined them, making this a sector-wide decline. Is this the groundbreaking decline that we have been writing about for so long? Time will tell, but the earth is already shaking.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Removing the Cloak from Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The new Alchemist is out. What can we learn from the latest publication of the LBMA? We invite you to read our today’s article and find out!

Banque de France and Gold

The latest edition of LBMA’s Alchemist focuses on the role of central banks in the gold market. Sylvie Goulard, Deputy Governor of Banque de France, wrote the first article, entitled Banque de France and Gold: Past and Future. . According to her, the central bank of France has always been a major player in the gold market. Indeed, in the 19th century, Paris was a major gold centre, while Napoleon (20 franc gold coin) was one of the iconic coins of the 19th and 20th century. And, since its creation in 1800, the Banque de France has held one of the largest gold and silver reserves in the world.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Silver Trading and the Hands of a Broken Clock / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: The_Gold_Report

Sector expert Michael Ballanger muses on lessons learned and profits to be gained in silver trades. "Even a broken clock is right twice a day."Stephen Hunt, The Court of the Air

There are times when every investor has to look long and deep into a mirror and determine whether a well-thought-out strategy is actionable or whether it is simply an ad hoc "hunch," barely worth chasing. With regard to silver, this is just one of those times.

In 2003-2004, I was stopped out four times under $5 per ounce trying to establish a 10-lot futures position in silver (50,000 ounces), which, at the time, demanded US$18,000 in maintenance margin. When I finally threw in the towel, my $18 grand worth of "dead presidents" was worth slightly less than $6,000.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 27, 2018

Will DOJ Finally Hold Bullion Banks Accountable for Gold and Silver Market Rigging / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner : It is hard to cheer for the Department of Justice these days, but federal prosecutions have begun to offer hope for precious metals investors hurt by rigged markets and crooked traders.

The DOJ looks poised to do what regulators at the CFTC have not. They will use evidence of blatant cheating and fraud to hold a few bankers accountable.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 25, 2018

Precious Metals Moving In Unison For A Massive Price Advance: Part II / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

As we continue to explore our custom research into the metals markets and our presumption that the metals markets are poised for a massive price rally over the next few months/years, we pick up this second part of our multi-part article illustrating our research work and conclusions.  If you missed the first part of this article, please take a minute to review it by before continuing further (Link to Part I).

We left off in Part I showing a number of supply and demand components and briefly highlighting our newest research using a custom Gold/Silver/US Dollar ratio index.  Our attempt at finding anything new that could help us determine the future outcome of the metals markets and to either support or deny our future expectations that the metals markets are poised for a massive price advance was at stake.  This new research would either help to confirm our analysis or completely blow it out of the water with new data.  Let’s continue where we left off and start by showing even more data related to our new custom metals ratio.

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Friday, November 23, 2018

Silver Mining Stocks Q3’18 Fundamentals / / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Zeal_LLC

The major silver miners’ stocks have been largely abandoned this year, spiraling to brutal multi-year lows.  Such miserable technicals have exacerbated the extreme bearishness plaguing this tiny contrarian sector.  While profitable silver mining is challenging at today’s exceedingly-low silver prices, these miners are chugging along.  Their recently-reported Q3’18 results show their earnings are ready to soar as silver recovers.

Four times a year publicly-traded companies release treasure troves of valuable information in the form of quarterly reports.  Companies trading in the States are required to file 10-Qs with the US Securities and Exchange Commission by 40 calendar days after quarter-ends.  Canadian companies have similar requirements at 45 days.  In other countries with half-year reporting, many companies still partially report quarterly.

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Commodities

Friday, November 23, 2018

How Will the Rollback of Dodd-Frank Affect Gold? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

This reform will make US financial system more vulnerable, just adding fuel to the fire of easy money. This is what some people worry about. Are they right? We invite you to read our today’s article about the rollback of Dodd-Frank Act and its potential implications for the price of gold.

In May, President Trump signed the rewrite of the 2010 Dodd-Frank law passed earlier by Congress with rare bipartisan support. The bill is the biggest rollback of bank rules since the financial crisis. According to the new law, lenders with less than $10 billion in assets will be exempted from the Volcker rule that bans proprietary trading. Moreover, the bill eases rules on all but the largest institutions, raising the threshold by which banks are considered systematically important and, thus, subject to tighter oversight from $50 to $250 billion in assets. The smallest banks between $50 and $100 billion were immediately freed of stricter regulations, while depositary institutions between $100 and $250 billion in assets will be exempt from them beginning in November 2019, although they could still be subjected to the Fed’s enhanced supervision in times of need. Last month, the Fed just unveiled a proposal for the implementation of several major provisions of the new bill.

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